What happened in Gaza i was not only predictable, it was predicted:

Why we can’t dump Gaza (written 1992)
https://strategic-israel.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/why-we-cant-dump-gaza5.pdf

*ISRAEL’S STARK OPTION: ARABS IN GAZA OR JEWS IN THE NEGEV?*
https://www.jns.org/israels-stark-option-arabs-in-gaza-or-jews-in-the-negev/
If back in 2005, on the eve of the “disengagement,” some far-sighted individual had predicted that reality would be as it is today, his caveats would have been disdainfully dismissed as unfounded scare-mongering.

*GAZA: DELAYING THE INEVITABLE AGAIN*…
https://www.jns.org/gaza-delaying-the-inevitable-again/
Israel has surged from success to success in virtually every field of human endeavor except in what might turn out to be the most vital: securing its long-term survival as the nation-state of the Jewish people

*IMBECILITY SQUARED: ISRAEL’S INCOMPREHENSIBLE POLICY OF SUSTAINING THE ENEMY IN GAZA*
https://www.jns.org/imbecility-squared-israels-incomprehensible-policy-of-sustaining-the-enemy-in-gaza/
The policy of trying to placate Hamas with enhanced humanitarian aid is sadly no less farcical than trying to convert a man-eating tiger into a cuddly bunny rabbit by offering it a diet of premium carrots.

*DEADLY DETRIMENTS OF A DOCTRINE OF DEFENSE*
https://www.jns.org/the-deadly-detriments-of-a-doctrine-of-defense
Unless the violence in Gaza is terminated permanently, Israel may face the grim prospect of the Negev being depopulated by Jews who will abandon the region for safer locations.